1 October 2008 at 4:40 am #7147
Look s like Higos – a budding tropical storm over the Philippines – is set to move over South China Sea, then strengthen somewhat, and move towards S China coast – Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasting it could hit Pearl River Delta/Hong Kong, albeit after just reaching typhoon status, and already starting to lose some power (so a tropical storm by time it gets to this area, around 6 October).2 October 2008 at 1:55 am #8215
Higos has now moved clear of the Philippines, and currently ranked only as tropical depression, but forecast to intensify – to typhoon status (albeit not powerful tyhoon); also forecast to head roughly northwest, then curve north and northeast before landfall.
Current forecast tracks – seen via http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/ – route Higos very close to Hong Kong, with direct hit possible. Pretty good agreement between forecasts.
But – bummer for lovers of weekends and fans of Number Eight leading to day off work – HK Observatory reckons it will be closest on Sat and Sun, maybe nearest during Saturday (4 October) night.2 October 2008 at 12:03 pm #8218AnonymousGuest
Hope this one doesn’t cause any damage. Will it be the last?2 October 2008 at 12:43 pm #8219
Hard to tell re whether it will be the last; usually can expect some tropical cyclones over South China Sea in late autumn, but more often headed for Vietnam. This year might prove unusual; seen something re prediction of several late storms for the region.
Seems Higos is not gaining much strength, so even if hits us right on, should be "only" a tropical storm or severe tropical storm.3 October 2008 at 2:10 am #8220
Now seems Higos, which is hideously structured tho not powerful, is now bound for Hainan; might continue on across Hainan to China coast, or may curve sharply towards northeast, still pass close to us, bringing rain and some wind.5 October 2008 at 7:52 am #8221
Having passed up the east coast of Hainan, Higos (well, remnants really, as maybe not really classed as tropical storm or potential tropical storm now) has followed a forecast track from HK Observatory, and is heading our way.
Radar showing distinct swirls of heavy rain around a centre; so akin to a tropial storm. Quite windy today, and there has already been heavy rain – with amber rainstorm warning hosted this morning. Now, looks like it will become a good deal windier, with more rainstorms.5 October 2008 at 4:09 pm #8222
In the event, Higos didn’t hit Hong Kong, but turned more northwards, and moved across Guangzhou area.
Still, late this aft brought intense rain, and wind – reaching gale force at Cheung Chau. Here’s a shot from southern Cheung Chau, a little before 6pm (so dark as clouds very thick, and intense rain reducing visibility).
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