tropical storms

Tropical Storm Doksuri towards Hong Kong

Tropical Storm Doksuri has formed to the east of the Philippines. There's good agreement from forecast tracks that it will come close to Hong Kong in around three days - so closest 30 June/1 July. However, not forecast to intensify much - so likely to be "only" a tropical storm as it passes. Still, early days yet...

doksuri tracks

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Typhoon Megi to impact Hong Kong

Updates and images on Super Typhoon Megi, which has crossed Luzon from east to west, killing at least 11 people, and is now headed towards South China, with forecast tracks suggesting it could come close to Hong Kong - landfall maybe east Guangdong.

Before landfall over Luzon, it packed extremely powerful winds, reaching 230 km/hr over 10-minute average: making it one of three strongest tropical cyclones ever recorded.

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Average number of typhoons forecast for 2010

After seeing news re unusually active Atlantic hurricane season being forecast, just checked about forecast for Wast Pacific tropical storms n typhoons, from Hong Kong's City University:

For the number of tropical storms and typhoons, most of the predictors consistently forecast a below-normal activity (ranging from 24 to 26) and therefore a below-normal TC activity (24 tropical storms and typhoons) is expected for this category
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Tropical Storm Nangka

Tropical Storm Nangka is approaching the South China coast; arouhd 320 km to southeast of us just now. Might be pretty close to Hong Kong.

Quite a small storm, by the look of it, though looks set to bring a lot of rain tomorrow. At Weather Underground forum, there's speculation it could intensify.

T1 in effect; as I write this, just had short but heavy shower on Cheung Chau; HK Obs radar shows rather diffuse but thickening rain band passing westwards over HK and sea to south; storm proper yet to show up on the radar.

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Stormy weather - Prapiroon - due for 3-5 August

It looks possible that an area of low pressure east of the Philippines will head to S China Sea and intensify into a tropical storm/typhoon. HK Observatory forcast for Sat 5th and Sun 6th Aug is: "CLOUDY TO OVERCAST WITH OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS." European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) seems to reckon a typhoon possible; tho perhaps it will pass westwards to the south of HK. Image from a forecast for Saturday (evening HK time); too early to be sure this will be correct of course, but worth watching situation develop.

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