After some remarkably consistent forecasts for a powerful typhoon hitting Hong Kong or very close by - including from ECMWF computer model - Super Typoon Usagi is now nearing Luzon strait, south of Taiwan, and indeed looks set to come very close indeed.
If it passes over land, a little to north of us, surely won't be severe impact. [This is what happened; HK had a lucky escape!]
Otherwise, even if eye passes somewhat to south, highly threatening.
Here's post from Washington Post weather blog:
Super typhoon Usagi, 2013′s strongest storm on the planet, may have peaked in intensity, but remains an extremely dangerous cyclone as it continues on a collision course with southern Taiwan and, likely, Hong Kong.
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center says Osagi’s maximum sustained winds are 150 mph, the equivalent of a category 4 hurricane. That’s down from at least 160 mph Thursday (category 5 level). But this is a mammoth storm, tropical storm force winds span 275 miles across it.
On Thursday evening, a satellite-based estimate of its minimum pressure was an astonishingly low 882 mb, which would have made it the deepest and most intense storm to exist on Earth since 1984 (tied with Wilma in 2005).
While here's a shot from Shek O yesterday. Waves not so great - but this was fair surf given there was barely a breath of wind, and Usagi was over 800km away [not sure of distance: a long way to be sending waves like this though]