Landfall east of Hong Kong looking most likely now.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center has shifted forecast track, now more in agreement with Hong Kong Observatory.
Strike two for HK Obs: JTWC has also reduced estimated current and forecast intensities, again becoming more in line with HKO – although Chanchu a large storm area-wise, now no longer a super typhoon, and set to weaken as it nears the coast, then weaken rapidly after landfall, probably late Wed (HK time).
Guessing for HK – Number 8 signal maybe up as Chanchu closest; but if it keeps to forecast track, No 10 unlikely.
Post edited by: martin, at: 2006/05/16 04:57