25 September 2011 at 3:42 am
#8628
Still early days yet, but does look as if Nesat will affect Hong Kong, with some chance it will be very close.
ECMWF now forecasts landing around Hainan; but other tracks are to east of this, as on this graphic with six forecast tracks from an MIT page at: http://wind.mit.edu/~emanuel/storm.html